Econ 283 – Economics of Population (1st Sem AY 2016-2017)

Professor: A. N. Herrin

Topics and Selected Readings

1. Demographic Concepts and Measures

  • Sources of demographic data
  • Population size, growth, distribution and age-sex structure
  • Fertility, mortality and migration measures
  • Population projections

Palmore, J. A. and R. W. Gardner (1983). Mortality, Measuring Fertility and Natural Increase. East-West Population Institute, East-West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii.  link [Open access]

Haupt, A., T. T. Kane and C. Haub (2011). Population Reference Bureau’s (PRB’s) Population Handbook, 6th Edition. Population Reference Bureau, Washington, DC.  link [Open access]

Cabigon, J. V. (2009). Life Table Estimates for the Philippines, Its Regions and Provinces by Sex. Commission on Population. [Print copy only] See also Philippine Human Development Report (PHDR) Technical Issues/Notes No. 3.

World Bank (1984). World Development Report, 1984, Oxford University Press, Ch. 4  link [Open access]

2. Demographic and Health Statistics

  • Marriage and exposure to the risk of pregnancy
  • Pregnancy and motherhood among the youth
  • Fertility preferences
  • Family planning
  • Infant and child mortality: high risk fertility behavior
  • Maternal health
  • Child health

Siegel, J. S. and D. A. Swanson, editors. (2004). The Methods and Materials of Demography Second Edition. Elsevier Academic Press. See Chapter 14, Health Demography.   [Print copy only]

Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) [Philippines], and ICF International. (2014). Philippines National Demographic and Health Survey 2013. Manila, Philippines, and Rockville, Maryland, USA: PSA and ICF International.  link  [Open access]

World Bank (1993). World Development Report 1993: Investing in Health, Oxford University Press.  link [Open access]

Jamison, D. T., et al. (2013). “Global Health 2035: A World Converging within a Generation”, Lancet 2013:1898-995  link [Open access]

3. Nutrition: Measures, Determinants and Consequences

  • Main source of data: National Nutrition Survey
  • Basic measures: anthropometric, biochemical, clinical, and dietary and infant feeding
  • Determinants, Consequences and Strategic Action

Food and Nutrition Research Institute (FNRI). (2010). Philippine Nutrition Facts and Figures 2008. Department of Science and Technology, Metro Manila. link  [Open access]

Food and Nutrition Research Institute (FNRI). (2012). Philippine Nutrition Facts and Figures 2011. Department of Science and Technology, Metro Manila.  link [Open access]

Food and Nutrition Research Institute (FNRI). (2015). Philippine Nutrition Facts and Figures 2013. Department of Science and Technology, Metro Manila.  link [Open access]

National Nutrition Council (2012). Philippine Plan of Action for Nutrition 2011-2016. link [Open access]

National Nutrition Council (2014). Repositioning Nutrition in Philippine Development: Mid-term Update of the Philippine Plan of Action for Nutrition 2011-2016.

Herrin, A. N. (2016). “Putting Prevention of Childhood Stunting into the Forefront of the Nutrition Agenda: Nutrition Sector Review” PIDS Discussion Paper Series No. 2016-21  link [Open access]

4. Population Change and the Generational Economy

  • Principles and concepts of the generational economy
  • Measurement: National Transfer Accounts
  • Country studies: Philippines
  • Role of public policy

United Nations (2013). National Transfer Accounts Manual: Measuring and Analysing the Generational Economy. New York: United Nations  link [Open access]

Lee, R. and A. Mason. (2011). Population Aging and the Generational Economy: A Global Perspective. Edward Elgar Publishing Limited and International Development Centre. See in particular, Part I: Fundamental Principles and Concepts  link [Open access]

Racelis, R. H., Abrigo, M. R. M., Salas, I. S. and Herrin, A. N. (2015). “Philippines 2011 National Transfer Accounts (NTA) Estimates of Consumption and Labor Income Age Profiles: Discussions about 1991-2011 Age Profile Change and Implications on Economic Gains from the First Demographic Dividend”. PIDS Discussion Paper Series No. 2015-45. link [Open access]

5. Population and Development: History of Thought

  • Effect of population growth on economic growth
  • Effect of population growth on sectoral concerns: agriculture, environment, health, education, employment
  • Population policy

Coale, A. J. (1969). “Population and Economic Development”, in P. M. Hauser, ed., The Population Dilemma, Prentice-Hall, Inc.  [print copy only]

Simon, J. L. (1977). The Economics of Population Growth, Princeton University Press, See particularly Chapters 1, 6, 13 and 23.  [print copy only]

World Bank. (1984). World Development Report, 1984, Oxford University Press, Part II.  link [Open access]

National Research Council. (1986). Population Growth and Economic Development: Policy Questions, Washington, D. C.: National Academy Press.

Kelley, A. C. (2001). “The Population Debate in Historical Perspective: Revisionism Revised”, in Birdsall, N., Kelley, A. C. and Sinding, S. W. (2001). Population Matters: Demographic Change, Economic Growth and Poverty in the Developing World, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 24-54.  [print copy only]

Sachs, J., Goldman, R., Gokgur, N., Radelet, S., Ramachandran, V., Remolona, E., Snodgrass, D., and Vincent, J. (1998). Promotion of Broad-Based Economic Growth in the Philippines. National Economic and Development Authority, Harvard Insitute for International Development, and United Nations Development Programme.  [print copy only]

Boserup, E. (1965). The Conditions of Agricultural Growth: The Economics of Agrarian Change Under Population Pressure, George Allen and Unwin, Ltd.  link [Open access]

Boserup, E. (1976). “Environment, Population and Technology in Primitive Societies”, Population and Development Review, 2(1):21-36.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

World Bank (1992). World Development Report 1992: Development and the Environment, New York: Oxford University Press  link [Open access]

Birdsall, N., Kelley, A. C., and Sinding, S. (2001). Population Matters: Demographic Change, Economic Growth, and Poverty in the Developing World. Oxford University Press.  [print copy only]

Demeny, P. (1971). “The Economics of Population Control”, in National Academy of Sciences, Rapid Population Growth: Consequences and Policy Implications, Vol. II.  [print copy only]

Demeny, P. (1975). “Population Policy: The Role of National Governments”. Population and Development Review, 1(1): 147-161.  link [Open access]

Demeny, P. (1986). “Population and the Invisible Hand”. Demography, 23(4):473-487.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

6. Understanding Behavior: Economic and other Social Science Models

  • Marriage
  • Fertility
  • Migration

Becker, G. S. (1973). “A Theory of Marriage: Part I”, Journal of Political Economy, 81(4):813-846.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Becker, G. S. (1974). “A Theory of Marriage: Part II”, Journal of Political Economy, 82 (2): S11-S26.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Davis, K. and Blake, J. (1955-56). “Social Structure and Fertility: An Analytical Framework”, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 4:211-235.  link [Open access] link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Becker, G. S. (1960), “An Economic Analysis of Fertility’, in Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries, NBER: Princeton University Press, pp. 209-321.  link [Open access]

Becker, G. S. and Lewis, H. G. (1973). “On the Interaction between the Quantity and Quality of Children.” Journal of Political Economy 81: S279–288.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Easterlin, R. (1975). “An Economic Framework for Fertility Analysis”, Studies in Family Planning 6(1):54-63.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Boulier, B. L. and Mankiw, N. G. (1986), “An Econometric Investigation of Easterlin’s Synthesis Framework: The Philippines and the United States,” Population Studies, 40:473-486.  [See e-Reserve database]

Hoffman, L. W. and Hoffman, M. L. (1973). “The Value of Children to Parents,” in J. T. Fawcett, ed., Psychological Perspectives on Population, pp. 19-26.  [Print copy only]

Bulatao, R. A. (1979). “On the Nature of the Transition in the Value of Children,” Papers of the East-West Population Institute No. 60-A, East-West Center.  link [Open access]

Bulatao, R. A. (1981). “Values and Disvalues of Children in Successive Child-Bearing Decisions,” Demography, 18:1-25.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

McNicoll, G. (1980). “Institutional Determinants of Fertility Change”, Population and Development Review, 6(3):441-462.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Cain, M. (1983). “Fertility as an Adjustment to Risk“, Population and Development Review, 9(4):688-702.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Salas, I. J. M. (2015). “Typhoons, child mortality, and excess fertility in a disaster-prone country”  Latest version available online at  link [Open access]

Todaro, M. P. (1969). “A Model of Labor Migration and Urban Unemployment in Less Developed Countries”, American Economic Review, 60:183-193.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Mincer, J. (1978). “Family Migration Decisions”, Journal of Political Economy, 86(5):749-766.  link [Accessible via UPSE network]

Sell, R. and de Jong, G, (1978). “Towards a Motivational Model of Migration Decision Taking”, Journal of Population, 1(4).