Jurado, Gonzalo M.Sallatu, Abdul M.2024-10-092024-10-091982-10https://selib.upd.edu.ph/etdir/handle/123456789/675The main focus of this study is the export instability of Indonesia in the period 1972-1980 which, firstly, attempts to determine empirically whether a decreasing (therefore an improvement) or increasing export instability has been achieved in the last period compared to the previous periods. Secondly, to identify factors that are positively and highly associated with the export instability of Indonesia. Lastly, the study looks into the government policies which can reduce the effects of export instability to the economy as a whole. The major findings of the study is that in three consecutive periods, i.e., 1946-58, 1959-71 and 1972-80, the study showed that after a decline in the second period, the third period registered an increase. Using single-variable and multi-variable analysis, both in the linear and log-linear regressions, some 29 explanatory variables considered to be related to export instability are tested. In the two form of regressions, there are nine explanatory variables that are consistently significantly associated with the export instability of Indonesia in the period under study. These are export price, raw materials import, balance of trade, value of petroleum and products, export value of wood, monetary reserves, and monetary reserves as a percentage of total outlays on import. Since the findings show that the significant explanatory variables are mostly related to the demand side of Indonesia's products abroad, then, this study suggests a focus of policy observations toward this direction. To be more specific, a further and more detailed study is called for, especially in relation to the demand for exportable products of Indonesia and export promoting policy.enExport instability of Indonesia: 1972-1980Thesis