Asymmetries in the Philippine business cycle: a nonparametric evidence

dc.contributor.authorMariano, Paul A.
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-21T04:58:32Z
dc.date.available2025-01-21T04:58:32Z
dc.date.issued2007-04
dc.description.abstractBusiness cycles have long been hypothesized to be asymmetric: when expansion ends, the economy falls rapidly and suddenly. When recovery begins, growth becomes gradual and longer. This study investigates if the Philippine business cycle exhibits such behavior. It employs the Triples test, a nonparametric procedure, to provide empirical evidence. The results show that macroeconomic fluctuations are characterized by steepness of cycles: downturns are steeper than upturns, and deepness of cycles: troughs are deeper than peaks are tall. These patterns of asymmetry imply that the economic mechanisms of aggregate variables are better represented by nonlinear models than linear models that assume symmetry.
dc.identifier.urihttps://selib.upd.edu.ph/etdir/handle/123456789/4176
dc.language.isoen
dc.subjectBusiness cycle
dc.subjectBusiness asymmetries
dc.subjectNonparametric analysis
dc.subjectPhilippine business cycle
dc.subjectMacroeconomic
dc.titleAsymmetries in the Philippine business cycle: a nonparametric evidence
dc.typeThesis

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