+50: how do Filipinos rate their president? a study on the impact of demographic characteristics, macroeconomic variables and political issues on presidential satisfaction ratings
Date
2004-03
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Abstract
The purpose of this study is to· provide an econometric framework for analyzing factors that influence the public's rating of Presidential performance. This study used an ordered pro bit model and a primary data sample of 1,200 respondents from all over the Philippines. Data gathered during April 1997 show that demographic characteristics such as region of residence, economic class, religion, employment and civil status affect the respondents' evaluation of the President's performance. The respondents' position on the constitutional change and their perception of the administration's effectiveness in prosecuting criminals and maintaining peace likewise play a part in determining if the President has done a good job. In addition, inflation and the respondent's ratings of the Senate and military influence their evaluation of the President's performance.
A two-period comparison (December 1996 and April 1997) reveals that seasonality and intensity of information available to the public affect the significance but not the relationships of the variables for the two periods. The main finding of the study is that demographics will play a role in the evaluation only to the extent that the demographic characteristics are affected by issues and policies and the public's awareness. Moreover, the significance of institutions in the rating of the President's performance is largely affected by the issues concerning them and the extent to which their interaction with the President's office is publicized.
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Keywords
Presidential satisfaction, Public opinion, Political science, Political behavior, Econometric framework, Presidential performance