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Subject: Political behavior ×

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    Economic influences on presidential approval ratings
    (2002-10) Calpatura, Donald Gail C.; Espinosa, Maria Karla I.; Alburo, Florian
    With the belief that public opinion toward salient economic issues is an important part of the domestic political environment, this paper proceeds to investigate the role of economic information in presidential popularity ratings, otherwise known as satisfaction ratings or performance ratings of the president. Alternatively, it will examine how economic variables influence the public's level of satisfaction with the performance of the president. The study uses theories on voting behavior, fundamentally the incumbency-oriented hypothesis (Kiewiet, 1983), in its treatment of respondent behavior in rating the performance of the president. The empirical part of the paper presents evidence favorable to the hypothesis '/. I using quarterly data on both the national and socioeconomic class (SEC)- specific measures of Satisfaction Ratings of Presidents, of Change in Quality of Life, of Performance Ratings of the Government on Specific Issues (Fighting Inflation), and measures of unemployment, from Social Weather Stations (SWS) reports. Data on inflation rate come from the Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS).
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    +50: how do Filipinos rate their president? a study on the impact of demographic characteristics, macroeconomic variables and political issues on presidential satisfaction ratings
    (2004-03) Baggayan, Ma. Jonalyn F.; Balicao, Peebee F.; Esguerra, Emmanuel
    The purpose of this study is to· provide an econometric framework for analyzing factors that influence the public's rating of Presidential performance. This study used an ordered pro bit model and a primary data sample of 1,200 respondents from all over the Philippines. Data gathered during April 1997 show that demographic characteristics such as region of residence, economic class, religion, employment and civil status affect the respondents' evaluation of the President's performance. The respondents' position on the constitutional change and their perception of the administration's effectiveness in prosecuting criminals and maintaining peace likewise play a part in determining if the President has done a good job. In addition, inflation and the respondent's ratings of the Senate and military influence their evaluation of the President's performance. A two-period comparison (December 1996 and April 1997) reveals that seasonality and intensity of information available to the public affect the significance but not the relationships of the variables for the two periods. The main finding of the study is that demographics will play a role in the evaluation only to the extent that the demographic characteristics are affected by issues and policies and the public's awareness. Moreover, the significance of institutions in the rating of the President's performance is largely affected by the issues concerning them and the extent to which their interaction with the President's office is publicized.