Impact of electric vehicle adoption on fuel consumption and electricity demand in the Philippines
| dc.contributor.advisor | Chan, Justin Rainer S. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Chua, Francesca Yddet | |
| dc.contributor.author | Madriaga, Karylle Anne | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-08-31T07:00:51Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2026-08-31T07:00:51Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2026-05-01 | |
| dc.description.abstract | "This study investigates how electric vehicle (EV) adoption affects fuel demand for internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) and overall fossil fuel use in the Philippines. Annual data from 1990–2024 are analyzed using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) models for gasoline and diesel consumption, while annual data from 2003–2024 are analyzed using first-differenced Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regressions to examine the relationship between EV adoption, electricity consumption, and fossil-based electricity generation. Results show a stable long-run relationship in the gasoline model, where gasoline prices significantly reduce fuel demand while GDP positively affects consumption. However, EV adoption does not exhibit a statistically significant long-run effect on gasoline demand, with only weak short-run substitution effects observed. In contrast, the diesel model shows weak evidence of cointegration, suggesting that diesel demand is influenced mainly by short-run dynamics. The findings also indicate that EV adoption does not yet significantly affect electricity consumption although increases in electricity demand significantly raise fossil-based electricity generation. Overall, current EV adoption remains too limited to generate measurable fossil fuel offsets in the Philippines." | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://selib.upd.edu.ph/etdir/handle/123456789/5274 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.subject | "Electric vehicles | |
| dc.subject | Fuel demand | |
| dc.subject | ARDL | |
| dc.subject | OLS | |
| dc.subject | Fossil fuel generation | |
| dc.subject | Philippines | |
| dc.subject | Electricity consumption" | |
| dc.title | Impact of electric vehicle adoption on fuel consumption and electricity demand in the Philippines | |
| dc.type | Thesis |